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A Second Act for PredictIt
PredictIt was the most active and widely referenced political prediction market in the United States for the seven years following its launch in 2015.
Jul 16
•
Rajiv Sethi
8
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A Second Act for PredictIt
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Professional Distancing in Academia
When scholars are targeted for speech acts, what happens to their productivity and influence?
Jul 4
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Rajiv Sethi
19
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Professional Distancing in Academia
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June 2025
Markets, Models, and Mamdani
Political prediction markets have been around for decades, but rose to unprecedented visibility and prominence during the last election cycle in the…
Jun 28
•
Rajiv Sethi
25
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Markets, Models, and Mamdani
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3
The Summer of 1967
A couple of days ago, a panel of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that federal control of the California National Guard could continue over the…
Jun 22
•
Rajiv Sethi
12
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The Summer of 1967
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Betting on Geopolitical Violence
Back in 2003, a Pentagon office led by Admiral John M.
Jun 18
•
Rajiv Sethi
30
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Betting on Geopolitical Violence
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Body Blows and Brain Drains
None of the blows that have been inflicted on American higher education over the past few months were unanticipated.
Jun 5
•
Rajiv Sethi
14
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Body Blows and Brain Drains
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May 2025
Reflections on Boldness
I graduated from college at a time and place where donning regalia and marching in procession were considered quaint at best and unbearably pompous at…
May 22
•
Rajiv Sethi
12
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Reflections on Boldness
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Prediction Markets and the Pope
White smoke was seen rising from a chimney at the Sistine Chapel at around 6:07pm local time yesterday, announcing the election of a new pope.
May 9
•
Rajiv Sethi
28
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Prediction Markets and the Pope
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April 2025
Under Fire
The Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression (FIRE) has been tracking calls for sanction faced by scholars in American higher education, and…
Apr 26
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Rajiv Sethi
25
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Under Fire
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8
The University in Exile
I feel like we are witnessing a charade.
Apr 10
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Rajiv Sethi
31
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The University in Exile
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7
Engineered Volatility
At around 8:24am (ET) yesterday the director of the National Economic Council, Kevin Hassett, was asked whether the President was considering a 90-day…
Apr 8
•
Rajiv Sethi
29
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Engineered Volatility
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2
Reciprocal Tariffs
If you thought reciprocal tariffs meant the imposition of import duties on others that match those they currently impose on us, you’re probably not…
Apr 3
•
Rajiv Sethi
24
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Reciprocal Tariffs
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