Imperfect Information
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Notes
Archive
About
Latest
Top
Discussions
Gun Supply
A recent issue of Vital City is on the supply side of America’s gun problem.
Sep 18
•
Rajiv Sethi
11
7
August 2025
Celebrity Unions and Price Volatility
When Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce announced their engagement on Instagram a couple of days ago, it was 1pm on the East Coast and the price of a…
Aug 28
•
Rajiv Sethi
11
The Interpretation of Signals
One of the themes that I have explored from time to time in this newsletter is the interpretation of signals.
Aug 26
•
Rajiv Sethi
15
4
Merit, Mission, and a Memorandum
A presidential memorandum issued on August 7 asserts the following:
Aug 12
•
Rajiv Sethi
9
18
July 2025
The Columbia Deal
On July 23rd, Columbia University signed an agreement with the federal government that covers a broad range of issues including hiring and admissions…
Jul 27
•
Rajiv Sethi
18
2
Guns + Violence
Jens Ludwig is a founder and director of the Crime Lab at the University of Chicago and the author of a recent book Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected…
Jul 25
•
Rajiv Sethi
14
2
A Second Act for PredictIt
PredictIt was the most active and widely referenced political prediction market in the United States for the seven years following its launch in 2015.
Jul 16
•
Rajiv Sethi
11
Professional Distancing in Academia
When scholars are targeted for speech acts, what happens to their productivity and influence?
Jul 4
•
Rajiv Sethi
19
June 2025
Markets, Models, and Mamdani
Political prediction markets have been around for decades, but rose to unprecedented visibility and prominence during the last election cycle in the…
Jun 28
•
Rajiv Sethi
25
3
The Summer of 1967
A couple of days ago, a panel of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that federal control of the California National Guard could continue over the…
Jun 22
•
Rajiv Sethi
12
Betting on Geopolitical Violence
Back in 2003, a Pentagon office led by Admiral John M.
Jun 18
•
Rajiv Sethi
30
Body Blows and Brain Drains
None of the blows that have been inflicted on American higher education over the past few months were unanticipated.
Jun 5
•
Rajiv Sethi
14
3
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
