Imperfect Information

Imperfect Information

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Thomas Schelling, Methodological Subversive

The Prediction Market Paradox

Thine Every Flaw

A Fallacy of Composition

On Arrest Filters and Empirical Inferences

Police Use of Force: Notes on a Study

Deadly Stereotypes

Fee-Structure Distortions in Prediction Markets

Does Market Microstructure Matter?

Systematic Biases in Prediction Market Forecasts

Forecasting Elections

Super Tuesday

College Sports and Deadweight Loss

The Order Protection Rule

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