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William J Carrington's avatar

I have no strong opinion on what would be the best admissions strategy for schools like Dartmouth, but I think your discussion elides one relevant statistical consideration. In particular, test scores are noisy signals of underlying "ability" or "testiness". In such circumstances, the average test score of an individual's group is relevant to estimating their true "testiness" conditional on their test score. You - and many admissions officers - conclude that, among two students that both score 1400 on a max-1600 test, the kid from a disadvantaged background has more latent ability than the one from an advantaged one. Maybe, if you feel that the talent is undeveloped, but from the standpoint of the noisy test, you'd have to conclude the opposite, i.e., the kid from the disadvantaged background is more likely to have had a lucky score and that their "true score" is lower than that of the wealthier kid.

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Rajiv Sethi's avatar

Link broken, post again?

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